Money, Modeled
Stock analysis

Three AI stocks, three numbers to watch: Nvidia, Microsoft and Credo

November 7, 20265 min read

AI stocks are often discussed as one trade. Their financial statements tell three different stories. Here's one number to understand for each of three companies.

Nvidia: how concentrated the business has become

In the second quarter of its fiscal 2027, Nvidia reported $96.2 billion in revenue, of which $89.0 billion came from its Data Center segment. That's about 93% of the total. Data Center revenue grew 117% from a year earlier, and company-wide GAAP gross margin was 75%.

Data Center isn't exclusively AI, but the share shows how much of an Nvidia investment is a bet on data-centre demand. The numbers to watch are revenue growth alongside gross margin: can Nvidia keep that profitability as it grows?

Microsoft: more cash in, less cash left

FY2025FY2026
Operating cash flow$136.2B$182.9B
Cash additions to property and equipment$64.6B$115.9B
Simple free cash flow$71.6B$67.0B

Operating cash flow rose about $47 billion, or 34%. Capital spending rose even more, so cash left after spending fell about 6.5%. The infrastructure supports more than AI, but the pattern is clear: the build-out absorbed all of the growth in cash generation and more.

Credo: two growth rates, both true

Credo (CRDO) sells high-speed connectivity products used in data centres: the links that let chips talk to each other. In the first quarter of its fiscal 2027, revenue reached $479.0 million, up 114.7% from a year earlier and 9.6% from the previous quarter. It ended the quarter with $764.3 million in cash and short-term investments.

Year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter growth measure different periods. A headline "+115%" can coexist with much slower recent growth, so check both before concluding anything about momentum.

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Disclosure: I own shares of Nvidia (NVDA) and Microsoft (MSFT). I don't own Credo (CRDO). Education only, not financial or investment advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Figures are as reported for the periods named; check the companies' own filings for current information.